FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver offers some reassuring poll information:
There's not as big a discrepancy here. ME-2, which stretches from Bangor into Maine's northwoods, is the inferior district for Obama, but probably shouldn't run more than about 2-3 points behind his statewide totals. Obama dominated McCain in fundraising in both ME-1 and ME-2, and while ME-2 does present some demographic challenges for him -- there are some of Ed Muskie's "Cannocks" up that way -- it also has a higher percentage of young voters than ME-1, which should help Obama somewhat.
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There's been some silly talk about McCain being able to snag the single electoral vote available if he could win Maine's second congressional district. The division into the two CDs divides Maine's population evenly. CD1's population is 637,450 and has a median income of $42,044.
CD2 has 637,473 people, covers 27,326 square miles, and has a median income of $32,600.
Augusta where I work is in CD1; Unity where I live is in CD2.
Much good political stuff out there, like the Palin Debate Flowchart and
The Great Schlep, and the Saturday Night Live skits.
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Speaking of life in CD2, here's my country lesson of the week. If the dead skunk smell in the yard seems to shift directions, maybe it's because the dog (Wing, the one with more lab genes) is moving it around, and covering it with a pile of leaves. We've disposed of the skunk and now when Wing goes out, you can see her thinking where's my dead skunk, I'm pretty sure I left my dead skunk right over here.
Scout, the one with more border collie genes, is all about projecting innocence. Never saw the skunk, deny all knowledge of the skunk, willing to take dead skunk detector test.
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